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Red119
3380.6
552423.4
448228.4
Blue172
295957.1
309849.6
261946.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127143050100200250300350400119172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
80.60.5
81.581.1
Auto7.3
Teleop73.3
End0.0
red by 23.5
2959
#22
57.11.3
55.857.1
Auto1.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Second
4482
#73
28.40.5
28.828.4
Auto1.9
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 21.3
3098
#31
49.61.3
45.046.3
Auto5.7
Teleop44.0
End0.0
Third
5524
#84
23.40.5
23.823.4
Auto0.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 23.1
2619
#68
46.51.3
45.246.5
Auto1.3
Teleop45.1
End0.0