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Red128
86250.0
366838.1
357028.1
Blue140
511438.8
150248.0
46964.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102155050200250300128140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#53
50.00.7
49.350.0
Auto-1.5
Teleop51.5
End0.0
blue by 14.7
469
#38
64.60.6
65.264.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.0
End0.0
Second
3668
#80
38.10.7
37.438.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.2
End0.0
blue by 10.0
1502
#42
48.00.6
47.146.5
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0
Third
3570
#101
28.10.7
27.428.1
Auto1.3
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 10.8
5114
#87
38.80.6
39.639.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0