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Red203
551120.8
364176.2
495439.9
Blue142
301537.2
287761.6
501219.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1289850150200203142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.23.7
74.878.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop76.4
End0.0
red by 14.6
61.61.8
56.758.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.9
End0.0
Second
4954
#29
39.93.7
34.037.8
Auto-0.9
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 2.8
3015
#51
37.21.8
33.935.7
Auto0.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Third
5511
#71
20.83.7
19.222.9
Auto0.0
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
5012
#57
19.71.8
16.117.9
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0