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Qual 812015 Newton Division
Red103
447131.9
215839.2
172056.1
Blue169
198380.7
364176.2
552618.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10418150150200250103169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#6
56.10.9
53.3→52.5
Auto1.0
Teleop55.1
End0.0
blue by 24.6
1983
#12
80.70.3
82.9→82.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop81.2
End0.0
Second
2158
#48
39.20.9
34.5→33.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
blue by 37.0
3641
#7
76.20.3
75.1→74.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop76.4
End0.0
Third
4471
#40
31.90.9
32.3→31.4
Auto0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 13.1
5526
#62
18.80.3
17.0→16.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0