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Red160
2540.7
313727.8
357445.2
Blue64
19026.1
401335.0
571034.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029140608012014016016064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#28
45.22.8
38.341.1
Auto0.3
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 10.2
4013
#37
35.01.6
28.126.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Second
25
#26
40.72.8
39.742.5
Auto-0.8
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 6.4
5710
#55
34.41.6
37.335.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Third
3137
#59
27.82.8
25.828.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 1.7
190
#49
26.11.6
30.528.9
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0