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Red162
283455.4
7065.9
364176.2
Blue170
50351.6
191866.5
354762.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194170100150250162170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.0
76.276.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop76.4
End0.0
red by 9.7
1918
#12
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
70
#15
65.90.0
65.965.9
Auto8.9
Teleop57.0
End0.0
red by 3.5
62.40.0
62.462.4
Auto1.5
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Third
2834
#10
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 3.9
503
#2
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0