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Red136
6863.4
364176.2
30216.3
Blue104
46970.7
21752.1
152813.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15512750100200250136104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.0
76.276.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop76.4
End0.0
red by 5.5
469
#14
70.70.0
70.770.7
Auto-1.2
Teleop71.9
End0.0
Second
68
#9
63.40.0
63.463.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.0
End0.0
red by 11.3
217
#7
52.10.0
52.152.1
Auto1.4
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Third
302
#24
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 3.2
1528
#26
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0