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Red67
387523.6
550112.4
364118.3
Blue54
438138.1
52047.4
52057.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384301001506754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.6
19.721.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 14.4
38.10.5
32.933.4
Auto0.3
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
3641
#26
18.32.4
11.914.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 10.7
5205
#36
7.60.7
9.29.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
Third
5501
#25
12.42.4
8.711.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 5.0
5204
#37
7.40.7
2.22.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0