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Red324
233756.6
2056111.8
403962.6
Blue280
364185.0
22648.4
121874.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214197100150250300324280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.84.8
103.9108.7
Auto8.1
Teleop103.7
End0.0
red by 26.8
3641
#18
85.01.8
82.484.2
Auto0.2
Teleop84.8
End0.0
Second
4039
#13
62.64.8
60.365.2
Auto-3.7
Teleop66.3
End0.0
blue by 12.3
1218
#10
74.91.8
74.676.4
Auto1.8
Teleop73.1
End0.0
Third
2337
#45
56.64.8
55.160.0
Auto3.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0
red by 8.1
226
#55
48.41.8
50.252.0
Auto-1.3
Teleop49.8
End0.0