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Red192
282694.4
46963.7
518855.7
Blue222
33081.2
301542.8
3378.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215200100150250300192222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#19
94.41.4
95.894.3
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
red by 13.2
330
#22
81.20.6
84.585.1
Auto2.3
Teleop78.9
End0.0
Second
469
#51
63.71.4
66.465.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.2
End0.0
blue by 14.4
33
#28
78.20.6
81.682.2
Auto5.4
Teleop72.7
End0.0
Third
5188
#62
55.71.4
58.657.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0
red by 13.0
3015
#50
42.80.6
43.644.2
Auto-1.1
Teleop43.8
End0.0