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Red258
102397.3
164074.4
131074.2
Blue213
132563.3
250265.6
180679.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230197100150250300350258213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#33
97.31.3
90.291.5
Auto9.6
Teleop87.7
End0.0
red by 18.4
1806
#35
79.02.2
79.477.2
Auto0.2
Teleop78.8
End0.0
Second
1640
#29
74.41.3
74.475.6
Auto2.8
Teleop71.5
End0.0
red by 8.7
2502
#15
65.62.2
65.763.5
Auto1.0
Teleop64.6
End0.0
Third
74.21.3
68.269.5
Auto7.8
Teleop66.4
End0.0
red by 10.9
1325
#57
63.32.2
64.662.3
Auto0.4
Teleop62.8
End0.0