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Red138
54873.1
377320.1
364158.3
Blue140
90439.4
354225.7
21754.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410150150200138140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#2
73.10.7
57.257.9
Auto2.1
Teleop71.0
End0.0
red by 18.3
217
#7
54.81.6
52.854.4
Auto0.6
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Second
58.30.7
50.351.0
Auto0.4
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 18.9
904
#11
39.41.6
37.138.6
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Third
3773
#30
20.10.7
17.017.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
25.71.6
18.319.9
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0