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Red30
481014.4
438149.4
561215.8
Blue58
549824.5
296039.8
152813.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637602003004005006003058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.41.5
42.941.4
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
red by 9.6
2960
#15
39.80.9
38.637.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Second
5612
#28
15.81.5
10.48.9
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 8.7
5498
#20
24.50.9
24.723.8
Auto0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
4810
#33
14.41.5
13.612.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 1.3
1528
#34
13.10.9
13.112.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0