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Red116
570812.2
148121.0
118959.9
Blue150
332236.8
364158.3
561215.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74102050150200250300116150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.91.7
50.652.3
Auto0.9
Teleop59.0
End0.0
red by 1.6
58.32.4
55.357.8
Auto0.4
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
1481
#13
21.01.7
16.818.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 15.8
3322
#14
36.82.4
34.937.3
Auto0.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Third
5708
#35
12.21.7
13.815.6
Auto0.6
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 3.5
5612
#28
15.82.4
11.313.7
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0