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Red131
50340.2
364143.2
575618.5
Blue119
137.9
511439.3
515020.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84814060100120140160131119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.8
37.638.4
Auto0.3
Teleop42.9
End0.0
red by 3.9
39.30.5
35.435.9
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
503
#12
40.20.8
34.735.4
Auto0.2
Teleop40.0
End0.0
red by 2.3
1
#11
37.90.5
34.034.5
Auto0.6
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Third
5756
#32
18.50.8
12.913.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5150
#25
20.80.5
16.917.4
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0