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Red150
504640.8
28041.9
341426.5
Blue126
137.9
511439.3
515020.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10484050150200150126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#5
41.90.8
40.541.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop42.2
End0.0
red by 2.6
39.30.6
36.737.3
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
40.80.8
39.340.1
Auto1.6
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 2.8
1
#11
37.90.6
35.435.9
Auto0.6
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Third
3414
#16
26.50.8
25.025.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 5.7
5150
#25
20.80.6
18.218.8
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0