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Red140
504640.8
28041.9
341426.5
Blue97
436241.1
296036.9
506624.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9997809011012013014014097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#5
41.90.6
39.540.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop42.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
4362
#13
41.10.1
40.640.6
Auto0.2
Teleop40.8
End0.0
Second
40.80.6
38.439.0
Auto1.6
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 3.9
36.90.1
36.436.4
Auto0.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Third
3414
#16
26.50.6
24.124.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
5066
#23
24.10.1
23.723.6
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0