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Red260
23475.1
50364.7
23372.9
Blue158
3378.2
82950.6
102397.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1722340100200300400260158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#36
75.14.2
71.775.9
Auto7.3
Teleop67.8
End0.0
blue by 22.2
1023
#33
97.33.7
98.895.1
Auto9.6
Teleop87.7
End0.0
Second
233
#16
72.94.2
67.471.6
Auto9.1
Teleop63.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
33
#28
78.23.7
79.175.3
Auto5.4
Teleop72.7
End0.0
Third
503
#27
64.74.2
49.053.2
Auto-1.1
Teleop65.8
End0.0
red by 14.1
829
#48
50.63.7
54.851.1
Auto1.4
Teleop49.1
End0.0