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Red166
121874.9
174159.9
233878.4
Blue114
2044.3
259070.2
38458.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17414850100200250166114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.40.5
65.364.8
Auto0.2
Teleop78.2
End0.0
red by 8.2
2590
#40
70.22.2
71.469.3
Auto1.0
Teleop69.1
End0.0
Second
1218
#10
74.90.5
62.261.7
Auto1.8
Teleop73.1
End0.0
red by 16.7
384
#42
58.32.2
45.443.3
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Third
1741
#17
59.90.5
48.748.1
Auto1.8
Teleop58.1
End0.0
red by 15.6
20
#59
44.32.2
40.738.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop45.5
End0.0