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Red234
54891.7
21757.4
118108.0
Blue184
171142.0
261463.2
46963.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24915550100200300350234184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
108.00.5
101.5101.0
Auto8.9
Teleop99.0
End0.0
red by 44.2
469
#51
63.70.4
68.769.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.2
End0.0
Second
548
#14
91.70.5
90.990.4
Auto1.7
Teleop90.0
End0.0
red by 28.5
2614
#44
63.20.4
60.460.8
Auto2.3
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Third
217
#39
57.40.5
50.950.5
Auto1.6
Teleop55.8
End0.0
red by 15.4
1711
#61
42.00.4
46.947.3
Auto1.8
Teleop40.2
End0.0