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Red177
233756.6
3378.2
250265.6
Blue218
161977.1
38458.3
313072.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183179120140160200220240177218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#28
78.20.5
75.374.8
Auto5.4
Teleop72.7
End0.0
red by 1.0
1619
#26
77.11.5
71.072.5
Auto1.1
Teleop76.0
End0.0
Second
2502
#15
65.60.5
59.458.9
Auto1.0
Teleop64.6
End0.0
blue by 7.1
3130
#47
72.71.5
73.875.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop72.9
End0.0
Third
2337
#45
56.60.5
52.552.0
Auto3.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0
blue by 1.7
384
#42
58.31.5
43.344.8
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0