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Red218
121874.9
17964.6
301542.8
Blue270
246872.9
23372.9
174159.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128185050100150250300350218270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#10
74.93.8
61.765.5
Auto1.8
Teleop73.1
End0.0
red by 2.0
233
#16
72.94.4
71.676.0
Auto9.1
Teleop63.8
End0.0
Second
179
#8
64.63.8
42.346.1
Auto1.7
Teleop62.9
End0.0
blue by 8.3
2468
#49
72.94.4
62.767.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Third
3015
#50
42.83.8
38.242.0
Auto-1.1
Teleop43.8
End0.0
blue by 17.2
1741
#17
59.94.4
48.152.5
Auto1.8
Teleop58.1
End0.0