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Red200
1114105.8
74446.0
541358.6
Blue236
518855.7
233878.4
33081.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209187100150250300200236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.81.4
112.9111.4
Auto7.9
Teleop98.0
End0.0
red by 24.7
330
#22
81.21.9
75.077.0
Auto2.3
Teleop78.9
End0.0
Second
5413
#25
58.61.4
51.850.4
Auto0.4
Teleop58.2
End0.0
blue by 19.8
78.41.9
64.866.8
Auto0.2
Teleop78.2
End0.0
Third
744
#63
46.01.4
48.246.7
Auto0.6
Teleop45.4
End0.0
blue by 9.8
5188
#62
55.71.9
57.459.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0