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Red226
62488.3
34062.6
102458.1
Blue306
2745.6
21757.4
212291.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202182100150250300226306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#11
88.31.0
83.984.9
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2122
#12
91.15.7
83.489.1
Auto-1.5
Teleop92.6
End0.0
Second
340
#34
62.61.0
58.559.4
Auto1.6
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 5.3
217
#39
57.45.7
50.556.2
Auto1.6
Teleop55.8
End0.0
Third
1024
#56
58.11.0
63.864.8
Auto2.5
Teleop55.5
End0.0
red by 12.5
27
#66
45.65.7
58.263.9
Auto-1.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0