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Red146
2044.3
62488.3
251250.2
Blue262
518855.7
250265.6
118108.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156225050100200250300350400146262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#11
88.31.3
88.387.0
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
blue by 19.7
118
#3
108.02.0
102.7104.7
Auto8.9
Teleop99.0
End0.0
Second
2512
#60
50.21.3
46.745.4
Auto7.2
Teleop43.0
End0.0
blue by 15.5
2502
#15
65.62.0
62.664.6
Auto1.0
Teleop64.6
End0.0
Third
20
#59
44.31.3
37.936.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 11.4
5188
#62
55.72.0
56.858.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0