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Red128
414366.7
286736.7
2745.6
Blue296
22573.3
23372.9
282694.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153245050100200300350400128296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#31
66.72.3
75.873.5
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
blue by 27.7
2826
#19
94.42.9
95.998.8
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
Second
27
#66
45.62.3
58.956.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 27.7
225
#37
73.32.9
68.971.7
Auto2.5
Teleop70.9
End0.0
Third
2867
#64
36.72.3
39.036.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 36.3
233
#16
72.92.9
74.176.9
Auto9.1
Teleop63.8
End0.0