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Red198
46963.7
102397.3
541358.6
Blue142
22648.4
382482.0
172049.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20117450100150250300198142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#33
97.30.3
89.088.6
Auto9.6
Teleop87.7
End0.0
red by 15.4
3824
#24
82.02.2
79.477.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop82.7
End0.0
Second
469
#51
63.70.3
61.661.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.2
End0.0
red by 13.8
1720
#58
49.92.2
49.447.2
Auto1.9
Teleop48.0
End0.0
Third
5413
#25
58.60.3
53.953.6
Auto0.4
Teleop58.2
End0.0
red by 10.2
226
#55
48.42.2
56.354.2
Auto-1.3
Teleop49.8
End0.0