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Red250
37970.9
161977.1
301542.8
Blue302
2056111.8
19582.7
38458.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15924050100200300350400250302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#26
77.11.2
76.277.3
Auto1.1
Teleop76.0
End0.0
blue by 34.6
111.83.3
106.4109.7
Auto8.1
Teleop103.7
End0.0
Second
379
#20
70.91.2
62.463.6
Auto1.3
Teleop69.6
End0.0
blue by 11.8
195
#4
82.73.3
80.884.1
Auto-3.2
Teleop86.0
End0.0
Third
3015
#50
42.81.2
39.640.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop43.8
End0.0
blue by 15.5
384
#42
58.33.3
48.351.7
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0