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Red184
31652.1
164074.4
6767.0
Blue258
3378.2
4859.3
403962.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180178100150200250184258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#29
74.40.0
75.375.3
Auto2.8
Teleop71.5
End0.0
blue by 3.8
33
#28
78.23.6
74.077.6
Auto5.4
Teleop72.7
End0.0
Second
67
#43
67.00.0
61.361.3
Auto4.1
Teleop62.9
End0.0
red by 4.4
4039
#13
62.63.6
55.158.7
Auto-3.7
Teleop66.3
End0.0
Third
316
#65
52.10.0
47.547.5
Auto1.7
Teleop50.4
End0.0
blue by 7.2
48
#52
59.33.6
57.460.9
Auto0.2
Teleop59.0
End0.0