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Red183
131074.2
102458.1
541358.6
Blue275
37970.9
46963.7
6871.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183181120140160200220240260183275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.21.2
69.468.2
Auto7.8
Teleop66.4
End0.0
red by 2.5
68
#30
71.74.2
66.470.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop72.4
End0.0
Second
5413
#25
58.61.2
53.652.4
Auto0.4
Teleop58.2
End0.0
blue by 12.3
379
#20
70.94.2
63.667.8
Auto1.3
Teleop69.6
End0.0
Third
1024
#56
58.11.2
63.262.0
Auto2.5
Teleop55.5
End0.0
blue by 5.7
469
#51
63.74.2
61.365.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.2
End0.0