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Red255
62488.3
403962.6
233878.4
Blue210
132563.3
313072.7
11157.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213180100150200250300350255210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#11
88.30.8
87.087.7
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
red by 15.6
3130
#47
72.70.9
72.173.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop72.9
End0.0
Second
78.40.8
70.371.1
Auto0.2
Teleop78.2
End0.0
red by 15.1
1325
#57
63.30.9
63.764.6
Auto0.4
Teleop62.8
End0.0
Third
4039
#13
62.60.8
58.759.4
Auto-3.7
Teleop66.3
End0.0
red by 5.4
111
#23
57.20.9
56.657.4
Auto0.7
Teleop56.5
End0.0