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Red166
102458.1
259070.2
50364.7
Blue158
22573.3
286736.7
165741.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19513750100250300350166158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#40
70.21.3
69.968.5
Auto1.0
Teleop69.1
End0.0
blue by 3.1
225
#37
73.30.3
71.571.8
Auto2.5
Teleop70.9
End0.0
Second
503
#27
64.71.3
62.260.9
Auto-1.1
Teleop65.8
End0.0
red by 22.8
1657
#53
41.90.3
41.842.2
Auto-2.7
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Third
1024
#56
58.11.3
60.759.4
Auto2.5
Teleop55.5
End0.0
red by 21.4
2867
#64
36.70.3
37.738.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0