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Red140
54891.7
1658.4
34062.6
Blue154
467859.1
38458.3
31652.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228152050100200250300350400140154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#14
91.73.9
97.994.0
Auto1.7
Teleop90.0
End0.0
red by 32.6
4678
#38
59.10.2
60.560.4
Auto9.4
Teleop49.7
End0.0
Second
340
#34
62.63.9
62.758.8
Auto1.6
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 4.4
384
#42
58.30.2
59.158.9
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Third
16
#32
58.43.9
63.259.3
Auto1.0
Teleop57.4
End0.0
red by 6.3
316
#65
52.10.2
50.149.9
Auto1.7
Teleop50.4
End0.0