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Red164
4859.3
161977.1
23372.9
Blue254
212291.1
233878.4
131074.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2072250100300400500600164254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#26
77.12.7
78.876.1
Auto1.1
Teleop76.0
End0.0
blue by 14.0
2122
#12
91.11.2
86.888.0
Auto-1.5
Teleop92.6
End0.0
Second
233
#16
72.92.7
80.878.1
Auto9.1
Teleop63.8
End0.0
blue by 5.5
78.41.2
74.075.2
Auto0.2
Teleop78.2
End0.0
Third
48
#52
59.32.7
58.155.4
Auto0.2
Teleop59.0
End0.0
blue by 14.9
74.21.2
69.570.7
Auto7.8
Teleop66.4
End0.0