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Red166
313072.7
246872.9
414366.7
Blue200
6767.0
24551.0
261463.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21815950100200250300350166200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#49
72.92.5
71.268.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0
red by 5.9
67
#43
67.01.6
66.768.2
Auto4.1
Teleop62.9
End0.0
Second
3130
#47
72.72.5
71.969.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop72.9
End0.0
red by 9.5
2614
#44
63.21.6
60.161.7
Auto2.3
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Third
4143
#31
66.72.5
73.470.9
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
red by 15.8
245
#41
51.01.6
47.549.1
Auto0.9
Teleop50.0
End0.0