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Red140
233756.6
10768.8
23475.1
Blue294
175688.2
132563.3
251250.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200183100150250300140294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#36
75.12.6
74.571.8
Auto7.3
Teleop67.8
End0.0
blue by 13.1
88.25.1
84.589.5
Auto6.2
Teleop82.1
End0.0
Second
107
#54
68.82.6
70.367.6
Auto7.8
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 5.5
1325
#57
63.35.1
62.367.4
Auto0.4
Teleop62.8
End0.0
Third
2337
#45
56.62.6
60.057.3
Auto3.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0
red by 6.4
2512
#60
50.25.1
45.750.8
Auto7.2
Teleop43.0
End0.0