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Red158
21757.4
162546.6
17964.6
Blue252
164074.4
118108.0
541358.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143243050100200300350158252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#8
64.60.3
62.662.3
Auto1.7
Teleop62.9
End0.0
blue by 43.4
118
#3
108.00.8
104.9105.7
Auto8.9
Teleop99.0
End0.0
Second
217
#39
57.40.3
56.956.6
Auto1.6
Teleop55.8
End0.0
blue by 17.0
1640
#29
74.40.8
75.676.4
Auto2.8
Teleop71.5
End0.0
Third
1625
#46
46.60.3
44.744.4
Auto-2.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0
blue by 12.0
5413
#25
58.60.8
55.356.1
Auto0.4
Teleop58.2
End0.0