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Red119
23372.9
22648.4
11157.2
Blue242
250265.6
162546.6
175688.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187187150200250119242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#16
72.93.6
78.174.5
Auto9.1
Teleop63.8
End0.0
blue by 15.3
88.22.2
89.591.8
Auto6.2
Teleop82.1
End0.0
Second
111
#23
57.23.6
60.857.2
Auto0.7
Teleop56.5
End0.0
blue by 8.5
2502
#15
65.62.2
63.465.6
Auto1.0
Teleop64.6
End0.0
Third
226
#55
48.43.6
52.048.4
Auto-1.3
Teleop49.8
End0.0
red by 1.8
1625
#46
46.62.2
44.446.6
Auto-2.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0