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Red176
2044.3
165741.9
282694.4
Blue278
23475.1
313072.7
131074.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168211050100150250300350176278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#19
94.40.3
94.394.1
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
red by 19.3
234
#36
75.13.3
71.875.1
Auto7.3
Teleop67.8
End0.0
Second
20
#59
44.30.3
44.644.3
Auto-1.1
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 29.9
74.23.3
70.774.0
Auto7.8
Teleop66.4
End0.0
Third
1657
#53
41.90.3
42.241.9
Auto-2.7
Teleop44.6
End0.0
blue by 30.8
3130
#47
72.73.3
69.472.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop72.9
End0.0