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Red178
2745.6
10768.8
62488.3
Blue186
525471.3
37970.9
233756.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199193120140160180220240260280178186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#11
88.31.4
91.089.6
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
red by 17.0
5254
#21
71.30.7
71.971.2
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0
Second
107
#54
68.81.4
67.666.3
Auto7.8
Teleop61.0
End0.0
blue by 2.2
379
#20
70.90.7
71.770.9
Auto1.3
Teleop69.6
End0.0
Third
27
#66
45.61.4
47.045.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 11.0
2337
#45
56.60.7
57.356.6
Auto3.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0