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Red250
31652.1
17964.6
102397.3
Blue194
74446.0
21757.4
161977.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20616550100150250300350250194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#33
97.32.2
94.596.7
Auto9.6
Teleop87.7
End0.0
red by 20.2
1619
#26
77.10.8
76.176.9
Auto1.1
Teleop76.0
End0.0
Second
179
#8
64.62.2
62.364.5
Auto1.7
Teleop62.9
End0.0
red by 7.2
217
#39
57.40.8
56.657.4
Auto1.6
Teleop55.8
End0.0
Third
316
#65
52.12.2
49.952.1
Auto1.7
Teleop50.4
End0.0
red by 6.1
744
#63
46.00.8
45.246.0
Auto0.6
Teleop45.4
End0.0