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Red138
157445.6
333952.0
565414.2
Blue40
321118.3
529122.6
306527.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11162015020025013840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.6
50.551.2
Auto0.1
Teleop51.9
End0.0
red by 24.2
3065
#11
27.70.6
28.828.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
45.60.6
44.244.8
Auto0.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 23.0
22.60.6
23.723.0
Auto1.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
5654
#49
14.20.6
12.813.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 4.1
3211
#29
18.30.6
19.418.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0