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Red150
157445.6
333952.0
565414.2
Blue50
321118.3
529122.6
306527.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11459010015020025015050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.8
51.252.0
Auto0.1
Teleop51.9
End0.0
red by 24.2
3065
#11
27.70.4
28.127.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
45.60.8
44.845.6
Auto0.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 23.0
22.60.4
23.022.6
Auto1.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
5654
#49
14.20.8
13.414.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 4.1
3211
#29
18.30.4
18.718.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0