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Red52
303418.3
221222.7
308315.6
Blue46
513510.2
571515.5
194623.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242301030405060705246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#10
22.72.3
9.812.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 0.9
1946
#16
23.64.8
7.712.5
Auto0.2
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
3034
#30
18.32.3
8.010.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 2.9
5715
#37
15.54.8
9.113.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
3083
#38
15.62.3
6.48.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 5.5
5135
#43
10.24.8
8.012.8
Auto0.4
Teleop9.8
End0.0