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Red38
503828.4
529122.6
474419.2
Blue24
267917.9
307511.9
263021.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36330204060803824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.6
12.513.2
Auto0.0
Teleop28.4
End0.0
red by 7.2
2630
#23
21.20.9
13.712.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
22.60.6
9.09.6
Auto1.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 4.7
2679
#18
17.90.9
11.911.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
4744
#22
19.20.6
15.115.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 7.3
3075
#40
11.90.9
9.18.2
Auto0.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0