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Red30
338822.7
157727.8
440614.2
Blue38
321118.3
441610.8
57472.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30290102040506070803038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#13
27.80.0
13.313.3
Auto0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 9.5
3211
#29
18.31.6
14.716.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
3388
#17
22.70.0
9.49.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 11.9
4416
#46
10.81.6
7.89.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
4406
#25
14.20.0
7.57.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 11.6
5747
#54
2.67.5
2.610.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.6
End0.0