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Red50
306527.7
458626.0
194419.8
Blue50
567012.1
193726.2
471210.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31270204060801005050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#11
27.72.5
12.515.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
1937
#14
26.21.7
12.013.7
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
4586
#12
26.02.5
10.813.3
Auto0.0
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 13.9
5670
#33
12.11.8
12.110.3
Auto0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
1944
#21
19.82.5
8.411.0
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 9.2
4712
#45
10.70.4
10.710.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.7
End0.0