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Red0
15803.9
221613.0
195215.7
Blue21
475712.7
56363.4
431914.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30220406080100021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1952
#34
15.71.5
11.710.2
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 1.0
4319
#27
14.70.2
6.66.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Second
2216
#47
13.01.5
10.28.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
4757
#35
12.70.2
9.19.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
1580
#52
3.91.5
7.76.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0
red by 0.5
5636
#53
3.45.4
3.48.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0