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Red42
56363.4
157445.6
43382.7
Blue50
165739.4
306527.7
475712.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403802060804250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.1
22.622.7
Auto0.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 6.2
39.41.4
15.516.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Second
5636
#53
3.40.1
8.88.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0
blue by 24.3
3065
#11
27.71.4
15.016.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
4338
#55
2.70.1
9.99.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0
blue by 10.1
4757
#35
12.71.4
9.310.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0