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Red44
195411.5
503828.4
195215.7
Blue14
458626.0
527310.7
441610.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372802060801001204414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.41.1
13.214.2
Auto0.0
Teleop28.4
End0.0
red by 2.4
4586
#12
26.00.9
13.312.4
Auto0.0
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
1952
#34
15.71.1
10.211.3
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 4.8
4416
#46
10.80.9
9.48.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
1954
#36
11.51.1
13.514.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 0.8
5273
#48
10.70.9
8.07.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0